First of all, I need to remind you that the Israeli Electoral and Government systems are very different from most anyplace else.
- Israeli voters vote for political parties, and according to their lists of candidates and the mathematical proportion of votes, the Knesset Members are decided.
- A ruling government must have at least 61 of the 120 Knesset Members.
- The strongest, which doesn’t mean the largest, party makes up/negotiates the coalition with other parties.
- The leader of that strongest party becomes the Prime Minister.
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has crafted/negotiated ruling coalitions three times already. One of those times his Likud party had won fewer seats than Tsipi Livni’s Kadima.
Livni although she began her political career in the Likud, she has been going Left and left the Likud for Kadima, deserted Kadima for her “Movement,” which she left high and dry for Leftist Isaac Herzog’s Labor. There aren’t too many parties left who would take her; I guess you can call her the political nymphomaniac. Political loyalty isn’t her strong point.
I’d say IMHO that any Leftist with half a brain would reject Labor because of Livni’s presence. Maybe that’s why their primaries resulted in such a far Left list.
Yair Lapid was the “golden boy” of the previous elections, barely two years ago. He benefited from two things then. One was the Israeli phenomenon, which I also see in our local Shiloh elections. The least known candidate gets a disproportionately high amount of votes. Israeli political history is full of these parties that frequently went from lots of seats to the footnotes of history books. Now that his voters have seen how little he accomplished, other than complaining, he’ll get fewer seats than before. And don’t forget that two years ago Naftali Bennett, also new to Knesset, inexplicably chained his coalition negotiations to that of Lapid, which pushed Lapid into a higher position than he deserved or was competent to do. I’m not quite sure what distinguishes Lapid’s platform from Labor.
Next is Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu of Likud. He consistently gives the impression he’s on the Right but then saddles us with Leftist policy decisions. He is the canniest and most experienced politician in Israel right now, and all the polls show that regardless of which party people plan on voting for, he’s the one they want as Prime Minister.
Moshe Kahlon will benefit from the “new guy” fewer enemies phenomena. He’ll get votes just because he hasn’t had time or opportunity to make mistakes and enemies.
To the Right of Kahlon and most everyone else in the photo montage is Naftali Bennett who has been remaking the staid old National Religious Party, NRP, into his image, Bayit Yehudi, Jewish Home. Even though it’s called the “Jewish” Home, there are members who aren’t Jewish, besides sitting MKs who aren’t religious. Bennett is showing us that Moshe Feiglin was wrong to work with the Likud. By opening up the NRP, Bennett has turned it into what the Likud could have become, but won’t. The results of their (NRP) primaries have not yet been published/fully calculated. I’m curious to see what happened.
I consider Avigdor Lieberman,who rather irrelevant or passe, between his ideological zigzagging and legal problems.
Yes, there will be other parties to vote for, and I still don’t know which party I will support. It may even be a party I didn’t write about. Elections will be in two months. Considering that this is Israel, and our enemies never sleep, much can and undoubtedly will happen between then and now.
May G-d give us all wisdom to choose well on Election Day. And even more important, may G-d gift our leaders with the wisdom needed to lead this precious country, the State of Israel!
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