A new poll by the Knesset channel shows that the Leftwing can easily form a coalition with only their natural partners, but the right may only be able to do so if they can sufficiently bribe the Shas party.
Labor-Zionist Camp (Herzog / Livni): 25
Likud (Netanyahu): 23
Bayit Yehudi (Bennett): 15
Arab List: 12
Yesh Atid (Lapid): 11
Kulanu (Kachlon): 8
Shas (Yishai): 7
UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 7
Yisrael Beytenu (Liberman): 6
Meretz (Gal-On): 6
Yachad (Yishai): 0
LEFT: Labor (25) + Arab List (12) + Yesh Atid (11) + Shas (7) + Meretz (6) = 61
RIGHT: Likud (23) + Bayit Yehudi (15) + Kulanu (8) + UTJ (7) + Yisrael Beytenu (6) = 59
The merging of the Arab parties have made them a key player in this election, significantly shifting the balance from right to left.
The Arab party may choose to not join the coalition, but they are likely to give their support so a leftwing coalition can be formed.
Furthermore, Bennett’s controversial introduction of soccer player Eli Ohana onto his list has distanced the more religious elements of the Bayit Yehudi party, some of who are saying to not vote for Bayit Yehudi, and others who have outright quit the party. The Bayit Yehudi party may drop as a result of the controversy.